Mortgage Interest Rates Today, May 4, 2024 | Rates Drop as the Job Market Cools (2024)

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Mortgage rates are down slightly following the release of data showing that the labor market cooled more than expected last month. Average 30-year mortgage rates ticked back below 7% after this report was released, according to Zillow data.

On Friday, the Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the US economy added 175,000 jobs in April, way below both the forecast and March's growth. The unemployment rate also ticked up to 3.9%.

Why would labor market data impact mortgage rates? It has to do with something Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said this week.

The softer-than-expected jobs report follows the Fed announcement on Wednesday that it iskeeping the federal funds rate steady for now. In a press conference, Powell said that policymakers may need to keep rates high for longer than expected to bring inflation down. But he also noted that "unexpected weakening in the labor market" could push Fed officials to consider lowering rates.

Once the Fed is able to start cutting the federal funds rate, mortgage rates should trend down.

One month of cooler labor market data most likely isn't enough to get the Fed to cut rates, but a sustained uptick in the unemployment rate over several months could be.

This means we'll need at least a few more months of data showing how inflation and the labor market is trending before we get a clearer picture of where mortgage rates will go this year. Investors are currently betting that the first Fed cut will come in September, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, which means we could see rates start to go down as we approach fall.

Current Mortgage Rates

Mortgage type Average rate today

This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow

Current Refinance Rates

Mortgage type Average rate today

This information has been provided by Zillow. See more mortgage rates on Zillow

Mortgage Calculator

Use ourfree mortgage calculatorto see how today's mortgage rates would impact your monthly payments. By plugging in different rates and term lengths, you'll also understand how much you'll pay over the entire length of your mortgage.

Mortgage Calculator

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$1,161 Your estimated monthly payment

More details

Total paid

$418,177

Principal paid

$275,520

Interest paid

$42,657

Ways you can save:

  • Paying a 25% higher down payment would save you $8,916.08 on interest charges
  • Lowering the interest rate by 1% would save you $51,562.03
  • Paying an additional $500 each month would reduce the loan length by 146 months

Click "More details" for tips on how to save money on your mortgage in the long run.

Mortgage Rates for Buying a Home

30-Year Fixed Mortgage Decrease Somewhat (-0.15%)

The current average 30-year fixed mortgage rate is 6.97%, down 15 points from where it was this time last week, according to Zillow data. This rate is up compared to a month ago, when it was 6.58%.

At 6.97%, you'll pay $663 monthly toward principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow.

The 30-year fixed-rate mortgage is the most common type of home loan. With this type of mortgage, you'll pay back what you borrowed over 30 years, and your interest rate won't change for the life of the loan.

20-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Drop (-0.25%)

The average 20-year fixed mortgage rate is 25 points down from where it was last week, and is sitting at 6.62%. This time last month, the rate was 6.34%.

With a 6.62% rate on a 20-year term, your monthly payment will be $753 toward principal and interest for every $100,000 borrowed.

A 20-year term isn't as common as a 30-year or 15-year term, but plenty of mortgage lenders still offer this option.

15-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Go Down (-0.24%)

The average 15-year mortgage rate is 6.24%, 24 basis points lower than last week. It's up compared to this time last month, when it was 5.87%.

With a 6.24% rate on a 15-year term, you'll pay $857 each month toward principal and interest for every $100,000 borrowed.

If you want the predictability that comes with a fixed rate but are looking to spend less on interest over the life of your loan, a 15-year fixed-rate mortgage might be a good fit for you. Because these terms are shorter and have lower rates than 30-year fixed-rate mortgages, you could potentially save tens of thousands of dollars in interest. However, you'll have a higher monthly payment than you would with a longer term.

7/1 ARM Rates Increase (+0.24%)

The 7/1 adjustable mortgage rate is up 24 basis points from a week ago, currently at 7.54%. It's also up compared to a month ago, when it was at 6.57%.

At 7.54%, your monthly payment would be $702 toward principal and interest for every $100,000 borrowed — but only for the first seven years. After that, your payment would increase or decrease annually depending on the new rate.

5/1 ARM Rates Inch Up (+0.09%)

The average 5/1 ARM rate is 7.49%, a nine-point increase from last week. It's also up compared to where it was a month ago, when it was 6.73%.

Here's how a 7.49% rate would affect you for the first five years: You'd pay $699 per month toward principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow.

30-year FHA Rates Tick Down (-0.06%)

The average 30-year FHA interest rate is 6.01% today, which is 14 basis points down from last week. This rate was 5.97% a month ago.

At 6.01%, you would pay $600 monthly toward principal and interest for every $100,000 borrowed.

FHA mortgages are good choices if you don't qualify for a conforming mortgage. You'll need a 3.5% down payment and 580 credit score to qualify.

30-year VA Rates Drop Slightly (-0.14%)

The current VA mortgage rate is 6.21%, 14 basis points lower than this time last week. This rate was 5.89% a month ago.

With a 6.21% rate, your monthly payment would be $613 toward principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow.

Mortgage Refinance Rates

30-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Fall Slightly (-0.06%)

The average 30-year refinance rate is 7.36%, six basis points lower than last week. It's also down slightly compared to a month ago, when it was 7.50%.

Here's how a 7.36% rate would affect your monthly payments: You'd pay $690 toward principal and interest for every $100,000 borrowed.

Refinancing into a 30-year term can land you lower monthly payments, but you'll ultimately pay more by refinancing into a longer term.

20-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Tick Down (-0.09%)

The current 20-year fixed refinance rate is 6.69%, which is down nine basis points compared to a week ago. This rate was 6.82% this time last month.

A 6.69% rate on a 20-year term will result in a $757 monthly payment toward principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow.

15-Year Fixed Refinance Rates Decrease a Bit (-0.15%)

The average 15-year fixed refinance rate is 6.42%, which is 15 points lower compared to last week. It's up slightly compared to this time a month ago, when it was at 6.33%.

A 6.42% rate on a 15-year term means you'll pay $867 each month toward principal and interest for every $100,000 borrowed.

Refinancing into a 15-year term can save you money in the long run, because you'll get a lower rate and pay off your mortgage faster than you would with a 30-year term. But it could result in higher monthly payments.

7/1 ARM Refinance Rates Go Up (+0.38%)

The average 7/1 ARM refinance rate is 8.42%, up 38 points from where it was last week. It's way up from a month ago, when it was 6.29%.

Refinancing into a 7/1 ARM with a 8.42% rate means your monthly payment toward principal and interest will be $763 for every $100,000 you borrow. This will be the payment for the first seven years, then your rate will change annually unless you refinance again.

5/1 ARM Refinance Rates Jump (+0.41%)

The 5/1 ARM refinance rate is 8.21%, which is 41 points higher than it was this time last week. It's also up a lot compared to this time last month, when it was 6.38%.

A 8.21% rate will result in a monthly payment of $748 toward principal and interest for every $100,000 borrowed. You'll pay this amount for the first five years of your new mortgage.

30-Year FHA Refinance Rates Fall Slightly (-0.16%)

The 30-year FHA refinance rate is 6.00%, which is 16 points lower than last week. This rate was 5.66% this time last month.

A 6.00% refinance rate would lead to a $600 monthly payment toward the principal and interest per $100,000 borrowed.

30-Year VA Refinance Rates Inch Down (-0.06)

The average 30-year VA refinance rate is 6.03%, which is down six points compared to where it was was last week. This rate was 5.72% a month ago.

At 6.03%, your new monthly payment would be $601 toward principal and interest for every $100,000 you borrow.

Are Mortgage Rates Going Down?

Mortgage rates started ticking up from historic lows in the second half of 2021 and increased over three percentage points in 2022. Mortgage rates also rose dramatically in 2023, though they started trending back down toward the end of the year. Though rates have been somewhat elevated recently, they should go down by the end of 2024.

For homeowners looking to leverage their home's value to cover a big purchase — such as a home renovation — a home equity line of credit (HELOC) may be a good option while we wait for mortgage rates to ease further. Check out some of our best HELOC lenders to start your search for the right loan for you.

A HELOC is a line of credit that lets you borrow against the equity in your home. It works similarly to a credit card in that you borrow what you need rather than getting the full amount you're borrowing in a lump sum. It also lets you tap into the money you have in your home without replacing your entire mortgage, like you'd do with a cash-out refinance.

Current HELOC ratesare relatively low compared to other loan options, including credit cards and personal loans.

Molly Grace

Mortgage Reporter

Molly Grace is a reporter at Business Insider. She covers mortgage rates, refinance rates, mortgage lender reviews, and homebuying for Personal Finance Insider.Before joining the Insider team, Molly was a blog writer for Rocket Companies, where she wrote educational articles about mortgages, homebuying, and homeownership.You can reach Molly at mgrace@businessinsider.com, or on Twitter @mollythegrace.

Mortgage Interest Rates Today, May 4, 2024 | Rates Drop as the Job Market Cools (2024)

FAQs

Are mortgage interest rates going down in 2024? ›

Economists do expect rates to decrease further this year, though gradually. April forecasts from both Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association predict the average 30-year rate will be at 6.4% by the end of 2024.

Are mortgage interest rates increasing or decreasing? ›

Current Mortgage Rate Trends

The average mortgage rate for a 30-year fixed is 7.12%, nearly double its 3.22% level in early 2022. The average cost of a 15-year, fixed-rate mortgage has also surged to 6.55%, compared to 2.43% in January 2022.

Will a recession cause mortgage rates to drop? ›

For people looking to buy a home, a recession can bring some advantages. When the economy is not doing well, home prices often drop, which can be good news for those who want to find a good deal; plus, during recessions, mortgage rates usually stay low, meaning buyers can get a home with lower monthly payments.

What is a good mortgage rate for 30 year fixed? ›

Today's 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
ProductTodayLast Week
30 Year Fixed Average6.62%6.58%
Conforming6.81%6.76%
FHA5.97%5.95%
Jumbo4.00%4.02%
4 more rows

What is the prediction for mortgage rates in 2024? ›

Mortgage giant Fannie Mae likewise raised its outlook, now expecting 30-year mortgage rates to be at 6.4 percent by the end of 2024, compared to an earlier forecast of 5.8 percent.

Where will mortgage interest rates be in 2025? ›

One reason is that as the Federal Reserve presumably begins to cut rates, the bond market is expected to become less volatile, leading to a slight decline in mortgage rates. The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate as of Thursday was 6.99%. By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%.

Are mortgage rates expected to drop? ›

In its April Mortgage Finance Forecast, the Mortgage Bankers Association predicts that mortgage rates will fall from 6.8% in the first quarter of 2024 to 6.4% by the fourth quarter. The industry group expects rates will fall below the 6% threshold in the fourth quarter of 2025.

Will mortgage rates ever be 3% again? ›

Lawrence Yun, chief economist at the National Association of Realtors, even told CNBC that he doesn't think mortgage rates will reach the 3% range again in his lifetime.

Is it better to buy a house when interest rates are high? ›

The bottom line. Today's elevated mortgage rate environment isn't preferable for homebuyers, but it doesn't mean that you should refrain from acting, either. If you discover your dream home, can afford the interest rate, find an affordable house, or have an alternative to rent, it can be worth it for you now.

Is it better to have cash or property in a recession? ›

Cash. Cash is an important asset when it comes to a recession. After all, if you do end up in a situation where you need to pull from your assets, it helps to have a dedicated emergency fund to fall back on, especially if you experience a layoff.

What gets cheaper during a recession? ›

Because a decline in disposable income affects prices, the prices of essentials, such as food and utilities, often stay the same. In contrast, things considered to be wants instead of needs, such as travel and entertainment, may be more likely to get cheaper.

What happens to your mortgage if the economy collapses? ›

What Happens To Your Mortgage Rates & Payments? If you have a fixed-rate mortgage, then your monthly payments will remain the same, which can be beneficial in a high-inflation environment. However, if you have an adjustable-rate mortgage, expect your payments to increase.

Who has the cheapest mortgage rates right now? ›

Best USDA mortgage rates
  • Home Point Financial, 4.19%
  • Freedom Mortgage, 4.21%
  • Flagstar Bank, 4.28%
  • Caliber Home Loans, 4.46%
  • U.S. Bank, 4.54%
  • AmeriHome Mortgage Company, 4.61%
  • Pennymac, 4.67%
  • NewRez, 4.68%
Jul 21, 2023

What is the highest 30-year mortgage rate ever? ›

In the fall of 1981, the average 30-year mortgage rate reached an all-time high of 18.63%. We'll examine mortgage trends for the past five decades and look ahead to see what borrowers can expect in 2024.

What is the lowest mortgage rate ever recorded? ›

Mortgage rates have been historic in their own right during the past few years. The average 30-year fixed rate reached an all-time record low of 2.65% in January 2021 before surging to 7.79% in October 2023, according to Freddie Mac.

Where will mortgage rates be in 2026? ›

The 10-year treasury constant maturity rate in the U.S. is forecast to decline by 0.8 percent by 2026, while the 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall by 1.6 percent. From seven percent in the third quarter of 2023, the average 30-year mortgage rate is projected to reach 5.4 percent in 2026.

Will bank interest rates go up in 2024? ›

While the federal funds rate climbed steadily in 2022 and 2023, rates have flattened and are expected to fall at some point this year. The CME FedWatch Tool, which measures market expectations for federal funds rate changes, shows that most experts expect rates to sit between 4.50% and 5.25% by December 2024.

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